criteria definedcumulative

Current estimate

probability this has happened by each date

2035
not yet estimated
2050
not yet estimated
2100
not yet estimated

Resolution criteria

2035
At least one G20 country's official crime statistics (e.g. UK ONS Crime Survey for England and Wales) show cyber-enabled fraud/computer-misuse offenses exceeding physical property crime (burglary, theft, robbery) by recorded volume.
2050
At least three G20 countries' official crime statistics show cyber-enabled property crime exceeding physical property crime by recorded volume.
2100
A majority of G20 countries' official crime statistics show cyber-enabled property crime exceeding physical property crime by recorded volume.

Sources

No sources are attached to this record.