criteria definedpoint-in-time

Current estimate

probability this measure holds at each date

2035
not yet estimated
2050
not yet estimated
2100
not yet estimated

Resolution criteria

2035
IEA Global EV Outlook and/or national transport ministry data show BEV+PHEV exceeding 50% of new passenger-vehicle registrations in at least three G7 countries for the most recent reporting year.
2050
BEV+PHEV exceed 50% of new passenger-vehicle registrations in all G7 countries, and exceed 80% in at least three.
2100
Internal-combustion-only new passenger vehicles are reported as a negligible share (under 5%) of new registrations across the G7, per the same reporting series or its direct successor.

Sources

No sources are attached to this record.