environment
Global annual fossil-fuel CO2 emissions in 2040 are lower than the 2023 level.
Last revised Sep 11, 2026.
criteria definedpoint-in-time
Current estimate
probability this measure holds at each date
2035
not yet estimated
2050
not yet estimated
2100
not yet estimated
Resolution criteria
- 2035
- Global Carbon Project / IEA report global fossil CO2 emissions for a given year at or below the 2023 level for the first time on record.
- 2050
- Global fossil CO2 emissions are at least 25% below the 2023 level, per the same reporting series.
- 2100
- Global fossil CO2 emissions are at least 80% below the 2023 level, per the same reporting series or its direct successor.
Sources
No sources are attached to this record.