governance
Freedom House's Freedom in the World report classifies a smaller share of the world's population as Not Free in 2035 than the roughly 38% recorded in the 2024 report.
Last revised Sep 11, 2026.
criteria definedpoint-in-time
Current estimate
probability this measure holds at each date
2035
not yet estimated
2050
not yet estimated
2100
not yet estimated
Resolution criteria
- 2035
- Freedom House's Freedom in the World report shows a smaller population-weighted Not Free share than the 2024 report's ~38%.
- 2050
- The Not Free population share falls below 25%, per the same report series.
- 2100
- The Not Free population share falls below 10%, per the same report series or its direct successor, or Freedom House's own methodology notes describe the classification system as having been fundamentally superseded by a successor framework tracking the same underlying concept.
Sources
No sources are attached to this record.