criteria definedcumulative

Current estimate

probability this has happened by each date

2035
not yet estimated
2050
not yet estimated
2100
not yet estimated

Resolution criteria

2035
The OECD AI Policy Observatory or national statute registers show such binding legislation in force in at least three G20 countries.
2050
The same three-country threshold, per the same sources.
2100
The same three-country threshold. Successor instruments to the OECD observatory may substitute, named at resolution.

Sources

No sources are attached to this record.