work
A four-day or 32-hour-or-shorter work week, without pay reduction, becomes the statutory or majority-negotiated norm in at least three G7 countries.
Last revised Sep 11, 2026.
criteria definedcumulative
Current estimate
probability this has happened by each date
2035
not yet estimated
2050
not yet estimated
2100
not yet estimated
Resolution criteria
- 2035
- At least three G7 countries' labor ministries or statute registers document a four-day or ≤32-hour work week (no pay cut) as either binding national law or the majority-negotiated standard across collective bargaining coverage, by end of 2035.
- 2050
- Same three-country threshold, evaluated against the cumulative state of national labor law and bargaining coverage by end of 2050.
- 2100
- Same three-country threshold (or its equivalent under whatever labor-standards bodies exist for G7-successor economies), evaluated against the cumulative state of national labor law and bargaining coverage by end of 2100.
Sources
No sources are attached to this record.