population
Japan's old-age dependency ratio (population 65+ per 100 people aged 20-64) exceeds 100, meaning there are more seniors than working-age adults to support them.
Last revised Sep 11, 2026.
criteria definedpoint-in-time
Current estimate
probability this measure holds at each date
2035
not yet estimated
2050
not yet estimated
2100
not yet estimated
Resolution criteria
- 2035
- UN WPP or Japan's Statistics Bureau reports Japan's old-age dependency ratio above 65, versus ~55 in 2024.
- 2050
- UN WPP or Japan's Statistics Bureau reports Japan's old-age dependency ratio above 85.
- 2100
- UN WPP or Japan's Statistics Bureau reports Japan's old-age dependency ratio above 100.
Sources
No sources are attached to this record.