criteria definedpoint-in-time

Current estimate

probability this measure holds at each date

2035
not yet estimated
2050
not yet estimated
2100
not yet estimated

Resolution criteria

2035
The nearest PISA cycle to 2035 (the 2033 cycle) reports an OECD-average mathematics score at or above 489.
2050
The nearest PISA cycle to 2050 reports an OECD-average mathematics score at or above 489.
2100
The nearest PISA cycle (or its direct OECD successor assessment if PISA itself is restructured) to 2100 reports an OECD-average mathematics score at or above the 2018-equivalent baseline of 489, rescaled if the assessment's scoring framework changes.

Sources

No sources are attached to this record.