environment
Solar, wind and hydro together supply more than 50% of global electricity generation by 2035.
Last revised Sep 11, 2026.
criteria definedpoint-in-time
Current estimate
probability this measure holds at each date
2035
not yet estimated
2050
not yet estimated
2100
not yet estimated
Resolution criteria
- 2035
- IEA/Ember report combined solar+wind+hydro generation exceeding 50% of global electricity output for the most recent reported year.
- 2050
- Combined solar+wind+hydro share exceeds 70% of global electricity output, per the same reporting series.
- 2100
- Fossil-fuel generation (coal+gas+oil) falls below 10% of global electricity output, per the same reporting series or its direct successor.
Sources
No sources are attached to this record.