Forecast
Organs grown from cells or supplied by engineered animals become routine by 2126.
Last revised Sep 10, 2026.
initial priorcumulative
Current estimate
probability this has happened by each date
2035
not yet estimated
2050
not yet estimated
2100
not yet estimated
2126 legacy
85%75%–95%no evidence yet
Routine clinical availability in at least one major health system.
Resolution criteria
- 2126
- Routine clinical availability in at least one major health system.
Sources
- Generation of a humanized mesonephros in pigs from induced pluripotent stem cells via embryo complementation
Researchers produced organized human-pig chimeric middle-stage kidney structures through embryonic day 28, a proof of principle rather than a transplant-ready organ.
recorded