health
US life expectancy at birth returns to, and stays above, its pre-2020 peak on a sustained multi-year basis.
Last revised Sep 11, 2026.
criteria definedpoint-in-time
Current estimate
probability this measure holds at each date
2035
not yet estimated
2050
not yet estimated
2100
not yet estimated
Resolution criteria
- 2035
- CDC/NCHS annual life tables show US life expectancy at birth at or above the pre-2020 peak of 78.8 years for at least two consecutive published years.
- 2050
- CDC/NCHS life tables show US life expectancy at birth at least 3 years above the pre-2020 peak (81.8+ years), sustained for at least two consecutive published years.
- 2100
- CDC/NCHS or its successor federal vital-statistics series shows US life expectancy at birth at least 8 years above the pre-2020 peak (86.8+ years), sustained for at least two consecutive published years.
Sources
No sources are attached to this record.