criteria definedpoint-in-time

Current estimate

probability this measure holds at each date

2035
not yet estimated
2050
not yet estimated
2100
not yet estimated

Resolution criteria

2035
The Federal Reserve's 2034 Survey of Consumer Finances wave (the nearest wave to 2035) reports a real median household net worth above the 2022 wave's inflation-adjusted figure.
2050
The nearest Survey of Consumer Finances wave to 2050 reports a real median household net worth above the 2022 wave's inflation-adjusted figure.
2100
The nearest wave of the Survey of Consumer Finances (or its direct institutional successor if the Federal Reserve's mandate or survey program changes) closest to 2100 reports a real median household net worth above the 2022 wave's inflation-adjusted figure.

Sources

No sources are attached to this record.