housing
The median multiple (median house price divided by median household income) is at or below 3.0 — the standard 'affordable' cutoff — in at least half of the 50 largest US metro areas.
Last revised Sep 11, 2026.
criteria definedpoint-in-time
Current estimate
probability this measure holds at each date
2035
not yet estimated
2050
not yet estimated
2100
not yet estimated
Resolution criteria
- 2035
- Demographia's International Housing Affordability report, or ACS-derived median-multiple calculations for the same 50 metros, shows at least 25 of the 50 largest US metro areas at or below a 3.0 median multiple in its most recent edition through 2035.
- 2050
- Same at-least-25-of-50 test applied to the most recent median-multiple data through 2050.
- 2100
- Same at-least-25-of-50 test applied to the most recent median-multiple data (from Demographia's successor publication or the closest continuously-published equivalent) through 2100.
Sources
No sources are attached to this record.