criteria definedpoint-in-time

Current estimate

probability this measure holds at each date

2035
not yet estimated
2050
not yet estimated
2100
not yet estimated

Resolution criteria

2035
US Census CPS Annual Social and Economic Supplement reports the never-married share of US adults 25-34 above 50%, versus ~44% in 2023.
2050
US Census CPS ASEC reports the never-married share of US adults 25-34 above 55%.
2100
The Census Bureau's successor household/marital-status survey reports the never-married share of US adults 25-34 above 50%, sustained across the preceding decade of published data.

Sources

No sources are attached to this record.