family
The share of US adults reporting no close friends rises above the 12% recorded in 2021, rather than stabilizing or reverting toward pre-pandemic norms.
Last revised Sep 11, 2026.
criteria definedpoint-in-time
Current estimate
probability this measure holds at each date
2035
not yet estimated
2050
not yet estimated
2100
not yet estimated
Resolution criteria
- 2035
- The Survey Center on American Life's close-friendship survey (or a methodologically comparable successor) reports the share of US adults with no close friends above 12%, versus 12% in 2021.
- 2050
- The same class of survey reports the share of US adults with no close friends above 18%.
- 2100
- A comparable, methodologically consistent survey reports the share of US adults with no close friends above 12%, sustained across the preceding decade of published waves.
Sources
No sources are attached to this record.