criteria definedcumulative

Current estimate

probability this has happened by each date

2035
not yet estimated
2050
not yet estimated
2100
not yet estimated

Resolution criteria

2035
BEA's personal savings rate series shows at least one run of three consecutive calendar years, ending on or before 2035, each averaging above 8%.
2050
Same three-consecutive-year-above-8% test applied to BEA's personal savings rate series through 2050.
2100
Same three-consecutive-year-above-8% test applied to BEA's personal savings rate series (or its direct statistical successor) through 2100.

Sources

No sources are attached to this record.