housing
The share of US renter households spending more than 30% of income on rent ('cost-burdened') falls below the roughly 50% share reported in HUD's most recent Worst Case Housing Needs baseline.
Last revised Sep 11, 2026.
criteria definedpoint-in-time
Current estimate
probability this measure holds at each date
2035
not yet estimated
2050
not yet estimated
2100
not yet estimated
Resolution criteria
- 2035
- HUD's Worst Case Housing Needs report (or Census ACS gross-rent-burden tables as a cross-check) shows the share of cost-burdened renter households below the most recent pre-2026 HUD baseline, in its most recent edition through 2035.
- 2050
- Same below-baseline test applied to the most recent HUD/ACS renter cost-burden data through 2050.
- 2100
- Same below-baseline test applied to the most recent HUD/ACS renter cost-burden data (or successor federal housing-needs reporting) through 2100.
Sources
No sources are attached to this record.