transport
The US traffic fatality rate falls below 0.5 deaths per 100 million vehicle miles traveled by 2035.
Last revised Sep 11, 2026.
criteria definedpoint-in-time
Current estimate
probability this measure holds at each date
2035
not yet estimated
2050
not yet estimated
2100
not yet estimated
Resolution criteria
- 2035
- NHTSA FARS reports a US traffic fatality rate below 0.5 deaths per 100 million vehicle miles traveled for the most recent full reporting year.
- 2050
- NHTSA FARS reports a US traffic fatality rate below 0.25 deaths per 100 million vehicle miles traveled.
- 2100
- NHTSA FARS or its direct successor reports a US traffic fatality rate below 0.05 deaths per 100 million vehicle miles traveled, or road fatalities are reported as a negligible/near-eliminated cause of death in national mortality statistics.
Sources
No sources are attached to this record.