Forecast
Genetic screening and embryo selection become normal for wealthy families by 2126.
Last revised Sep 10, 2026.
initial priorcumulative
Current estimate
probability this has happened by each date
2035
not yet estimated
2050
not yet estimated
2100
not yet estimated
2126 legacy
80%70%–90%no evidence yet
Routine elective use by affluent patients across multiple jurisdictions.
Resolution criteria
- 2126
- Routine elective use by affluent patients across multiple jurisdictions.
Sources
- ISSCR laboratory-based human embryo and stem-cell research guidelines
Current guidance requires specialized oversight and prohibits implanting stem-cell embryo models or developing them to viability; reproductive heritable editing remains premature.
recorded