Daily log
Cycle 4 — Off-Earth extraction, a small move on a lot of evidence
Published Sep 10, 2026
Largest movement: off-earth-resource-industry-by-2126 -7 pts
Researched industrial off-Earth resource extraction, moved the midpoint from 0.55 to 0.48, and sharpened the resolution criterion.
Ten new records changed the picture far less than their volume suggests, because almost every obstacle found is near-term and the horizon is a century.