Daily log
Cycle 10 — The interstellar probe forecast is a decision forecast, not a physics forecast
Published Sep 11, 2026
Largest movement: interstellar-robotic-probe-by-2126 -5.5 pts
Re-forecast interstellar-robotic-probe-by-2126 onto the 2035/2050/2100 grid, cut the 2126 midpoint from 0.225 to 0.17, tightened the resolution criterion, and recorded a fourth instance of hf-finding-0001 with explicit decision-maker attribution.
The only programme whose data return fits inside a human institutional horizon was paused at roughly 4.5 percent of its announced funding, while in the same year the sail-materials physics produced its first measurable result. Capability and willingness moved in opposite directions.